brentgilliard:
adrifting:
“Florida’s last population decline occurred from 1945 to 1946, when America defeated the Nazis and Japan. The state had housed hundreds of thousands of soldiers, sailors and airmen in places like Drew and McDill airfields in Tampa and Camp Blanding near Gainesville. Many military men and their dependents departed at the end of the war.
Even during the real estate bust of the late 1920s and the economic cataclysm of the 1930s, the population continued to rise. You would have to go back to 1916-18 to find the next instance of a population decline.”
This is both great and not so great.
Since Florida is so overcrowded along the coast and in all of it’s sprawling metro areas, any reduction in immigrants to the state is a good thing for reducing more and more suburbia and sprawl. A continual influx of new residents whether snowbirds, retirees or foreign immigrants, only threatens our already dying fragile environment and puts a burden on existing infrastructure and resources.
People are mostly attracted to Florida for its sandy beaches, sun, theme parks, and the chance to have NO income tax. Therefore, Florida’s economy thrives on tourism and GROWTH. Construction and real estate are the only major industries that Florida’s revenue comes from. The state relies on property taxes which must cover the lack of revenue from no income taxes. If there is no new growth in the state, revenues go down. If people leave the state, revenue really drops.
Unfortunately, there really haven’t been any other worthwhile investments in other industries in Florida, therefore making the lack of growth detrimental to the state’s budget. No growth seems so great because we can use what we have and possibly gain back some of our lost wetlands, forests, and swamps. But without that growth, our schools, hospitals, police and fire departments, and local governments suffer tremendously. No property taxes = less investment in our future.
Florida needs to change the way they do things, don’t ya think?
- New and different industries?
- Creating an income tax (no, we would never go there…all the old people would leave…ha)?
- Encourage new residents to live in and revitalize old neighborhoods and urban districts?
I wonder how messed up things are at the state level. Are we talking California-style dysfunction, or just the usual? Can the state government shift (however you like) from relying on develpment before a budget crisis?
Question two: What is the relationship between the state and municipalities? Can the state force them to meet certain standards (let’s say of form or density) for new development, or even prescribe the limits of development? Because when growth returns to Florida, it would be pretty silly to let the old foreclosed homes deteriorate while new facsimiles are built further out in the swamp. You need to stop doing this, at least.
Assuming that state is not broke, it would be a good idea to tie together all those big metro areas with fast trains. There are 18 million people in Florida and they all live just a little too far apart.
I’m not sure there are any transformative industries that could replace development and fuel another boom. Maybe someday we will harness the power of hurricanes. In the meantime, Florida should continue to capitalize on its large Spanish-speaking population. I understand Miami is the capital of Latin American banking. Perhaps a Spanish-language university attracting the young, the rich, and the smart from across the continent? I’m just thinking out loud here.
Ok, Florida may not have quite the budget crisis that California does, but at least California is being sort of smart and making investments in alternative energies, high speed rail, and other new and high-tech industries.
The relationship between the state and municipalities is pretty weak in my opinion regarding growth policy. The only policies for growth encourage it. For example, Senate Bill 360, which passed this past June, allows new developments to be built without proper infrastructure already in place, thus encouraging sprawl and causing traffic gridlocks. This may bring the state’s economy back to its feet, but it is right back where it was before. These type of things only create more new development leaving the environment in shambles and the inner cities abandoned. It’s sad, really.
No, the state is not completely broke. Yes, we do have trains that connect the cities, but it is all Amtrak and it’s complicated and never worth the time to take a train from Fort Lauderdale to Jacksonville for instance. I’ve checked before, and sometimes you must go through Lakeland (which is out of the way) and catch a Greyhound bus for half the trip!
High speed rail is a swell idea, and there are a number of proposals out there to put it in place, which is a good thing. But just recently announced, the only commuter rail in the state is facing such budget cuts that the possibility of it remaining open next year is in jeopardy! If we can’t maintain commuter rail, then I have no idea how we would keep up high speed rail. The state will only wait for a federal mandate, which hopefully will be beginning with all of the stimulus package.
It sucks being a pessimist, but I’m just trying to look at the future realistically, you know?
We have spoken in some of my classes about making Miami/South Florida the banking center of Latin America. I think it would be a brilliant idea! Another idea would be to create manufacturing industries and using our two excellent ports to ship things to Latin America like construction supplies or…well we haven’t got anything else…we don’t know anything else. Maybe yachts? Wait, the good ones are made in Germany. Maybe palm trees? Sandy beaches?
We need something new!